Methodology
Data
We parsed the complete official seat-allotment results published by the Medical Counselling Committee (mcc.nic.in) for NEET UG counselling 2024 and 2025 — every round: Round 1, 2, 3, stray vacancy, special stray, and the BDS/B.Sc Nursing rounds. That is 98,977 individual allotments across 648 institutes, covering All India Quota, AIIMS/JIPMER, central universities (DU, IP, BHU, AMU, Jamia), ESIC, deemed universities, NRI and minority quotas.
Closing ranks
For every combination of college × course × quota × category × round × year we compute the closing rank: the worst (highest) All India Rank that actually secured a seat. "Final closing" on this site means the worst rank that got a seat in any round of that year, including stray rounds — the true last ticket in.
Chance bands
Your rank R is compared with the final closing ranks of 2024 (F₂₄) and 2025 (F₂₅) for each seat group:
- Very high — R ≤ 80% of the better (lower) of F₂₄/F₂₅: you beat both years with margin.
- High — R within both years' closing ranks.
- Moderate — R within one year's closing rank but not the other (cutoffs fluctuated across you).
- Borderline — R up to 25% beyond the worse year's closing rank: possible only if cutoffs slip in 2026.
Limitations — read this
- Cutoffs shift every year with seat-matrix changes, applicant numbers, and exam difficulty. Two years of data bounds — but does not eliminate — that uncertainty.
- This covers MCC-counselled seats only (15% AIQ + central + deemed). The 85% state quota runs on separate state merit lists — some states (e.g. Tamil Nadu) don't even use your All India Rank directly.
- 2024 ranks included NTA's revised decimal ranks after the re-score; we preserve them exactly as published.
- Category conversions in later rounds, in-round upgrades and seat surrenders make stray-round closing ranks noisy; treat Borderline as hope, not plan.
Who runs this
An independent, free tool for the 2026 counselling season. Not affiliated with MCC, NTA, or any admission consultancy. No signup, no lead selling. Verify every decision on mcc.nic.in.
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